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Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Barnet
Boreham Wood
Bromley
Chesterfield
Dagenham & Redbridge
Eastleigh
Ebbsfleet United
AFC Fylde
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Maidenhead United
Oldham Athletic
Rochdale
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Wealdstone
Woking
Wealdstone
National League | Gameweek 23
Jan 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St. George's Stadium
Aldershot Town

Wealdstone
3 - 3
Aldershot

Adarkwa (32'), Ferguson (34'), Obiero (47')
Kretzschmar (49'), Henry (69'), Mason (75')
Henry (80'), Barrett (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Barham (20'), Tolaj (24'), Thomas (90+1')
Menayese (12'), Widdrington (82'), Widdrington (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Wealdstone and Aldershot Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wealdstone 2-0 Halifax
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in National League

We said: Wealdstone 1-1 Aldershot Town

This is a really interesting match, as Aldershot have a lot of firepower, but Wealdstone are in good form and are also strong at home. It would not be a surprise to see a win either way here, but we just have a feeling that the points will be shared in a tight encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.71%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
WealdstoneDrawAldershot Town
46.82% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 22.53% (0.0030000000000001 0) 30.65% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 64.84% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.41% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)35.58% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.36% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)57.64% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Wealdstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.31% (0.0019999999999953 0)15.68% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)44.74% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Aldershot Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.9% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)23.1% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.05% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)56.95% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Wealdstone 46.82%
    Aldershot Town 30.65%
    Draw 22.53%
WealdstoneDrawAldershot Town
2-1 @ 9.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 6.71% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.63% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 4.12% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.84% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.91%
4-0 @ 1.78% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 0.97%
4-3 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 46.82%
1-1 @ 9.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 6.68% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 3.62% (0.004 0)
3-3 @ 2.01% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.53%
1-2 @ 7.21% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-1 @ 5.31% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.89% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.52% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 3.26% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-3 @ 1.9% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.29% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 30.65%

Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Aldershot
3-1
Wealdstone
Glover (32'), Stokes (54', 75')
Jones (45+1'), Harries (47'), van Stappershoef (86')
Adarkwa (77')
Ferguson (63'), Barker (90+3')
Apr 18, 2023 7.45pm
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Aldershot
1-2
Wealdstone
Vincent (7')
Browne (66', 76')
May 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 46
Aldershot
1-3
Wealdstone
Harris (29')
McAvoy (15'), Umerah (69'), Jackson Jr (90+7')
Sesay (45+1'), McAvoy (61'), Cooper (75'), Tavares (90+4')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 7
Wealdstone
2-2
Aldershot
Jackson Jr (26' pen.), Umerah (62')
Elito (60'), Cook (90+4')
Andrews (48', 69')
Lyons-Foster (56'), Harris (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CChesterfield4631510106654198
2Barnet462681291603186
3Bromley462215973492481
4AltrinchamAltrincham4622111384592577
5Solihull MoorsSolihull462113127162976
6Gateshead462291588642475
7Halifax TownHalifax461914135850871
8Aldershot TownAldershot46209177483-969
9Southend UnitedSouthend4621121370452565
10Oldham AthleticOldham461518136360363
11Rochdale461614166964562
12Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool46179207082-1260
13Eastleigh461611197387-1459
14Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead461513186067-758
15Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red461414186963656
16WealdstoneWealdstone461511206072-1256
17Woking461510214955-655
18Fylde461510217482-855
19Ebbsfleet461412205974-1554
20York City461217175569-1453
21Boreham WoodBoreham Wood461216185973-1452
22Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster461113224059-1946
23Dorking WanderersDorking46129255485-3145
24Oxford CityOxford City4689295494-4033


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