Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 61.19%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Weymouth had a probability of 17.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.97%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Weymouth win it was 1-0 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Notts County in this match.