MX23RW : Saturday, July 27 00:37:10| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 3
Apr 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval
Larne

Glentoran
1 - 2
Larne

Bolger (57' og.)
McCartan (68'), Donnelly (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ryan (8'), Russell (90+6' og.)
Graham (73')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glentoran and Larne.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coleraine 2-1 Glentoran
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Larne 8-1 Cliftonville
Saturday, April 13 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Glentoran had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Glentoran win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result
GlentoranDrawLarne
35.5% (0.060000000000002 0.06) 25.93% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07) 38.57% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.42% (0.233 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.09% (0.292 0.29)49.91% (-0.289 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.1% (0.259 0.26)71.9% (-0.25699999999999 -0.26)
Glentoran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.9% (0.178 0.18)27.1% (-0.173 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.52% (0.229 0.23)62.48% (-0.226 -0.23)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.64% (0.14 0.14)25.36% (-0.137 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.85% (0.19 0.19)60.15% (-0.187 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Glentoran 35.5%
    Larne 38.57%
    Draw 25.93%
GlentoranDrawLarne
1-0 @ 8.97% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.04% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.86% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.5% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.55% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.14% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 35.5%
1-1 @ 12.31% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.87% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.51% (0.032 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.93%
0-1 @ 9.43% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-2 @ 8.45% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.47% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.86% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.96%
2-3 @ 2.52% (0.025 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.33% (0.011 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 38.57%

Head to Head
Feb 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Larne
3-0
Glentoran
Bonis (39', 71'), Ryan (64')
Nov 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Larne
2-1
Glentoran
Ryan (10'), Millar (52')
Orozco (63')
Fisher (69')
Palmer (8'), Kelly (12'), McCarey (54')
Aug 11, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Glentoran
1-2
Larne
Burns (80')
Sule (32'), McCarey (32'), McCartan (68'), Donnelly (90+3'), Singleton (90+3'), Jenkins (90+10')
Glynn (49'), Ryan (62')
Glynn (35'), Want (57'), Thomson (90+1'), Ferguson (90+1'), Gordon (90+5'), Ives (90+10')
Apr 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Larne
2-0
Glentoran
Glynn (15'), Bonis (20')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Glentoran
0-1
Larne
Bonis (63')
rhs 2.0
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