Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 48.96%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aston Villa in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Aston Villa.
Result | ||
Aston Villa | Draw | Crystal Palace |
48.96% (![]() | 25.25% (![]() | 25.78% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.78% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.87% (![]() | 51.12% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.02% (![]() | 72.97% (![]() |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.1% (![]() | 20.9% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.39% (![]() | 53.61% (![]() |
Crystal Palace Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.46% (![]() | 34.54% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.74% (![]() | 71.26% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Aston Villa | Draw | Crystal Palace |
1-0 @ 11.29% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.4% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.85% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.91% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.62% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.61% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.92% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.81% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 2.54% Total : 48.96% | 1-1 @ 12.01% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.22% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.25% | 0-1 @ 7.67% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.39% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.08% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.26% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.77% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.45% ( ![]() Other @ 2.16% Total : 25.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 23 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 56 | 21 | 35 | 56 |
2 | Arsenal | 24 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 49 | 22 | 27 | 50 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 27 | 13 | 47 |
4 | Chelsea | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 47 | 31 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Manchester CityMan City | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 41 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 41 |
7 | Bournemouth | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 28 | 13 | 40 |
8 | Aston Villa | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 37 |
9 | Fulham | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 36 |
10 | Brentford | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 33 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 33 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 30 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 29 |
14 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 27 |
15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 29 | 46 | -17 | 27 |
16 | Everton | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 34 | 52 | -18 | 19 |
18 | Leicester CityLeicester | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 53 | -28 | 17 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 22 | 49 | -27 | 16 |
20 | Southampton | 24 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 18 | 54 | -36 | 9 |
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