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Premier League | Gameweek 23
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Selhurst Park
Brighton logo

Crystal Palace
1 - 1
Brighton

Tomkins (69')
Hughes (27'), Sambi Lokonga (59'), Doucoure (82'), Mitchell (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
March (63')
Mac Allister (7')

The Match

Match Report

James Tomkins cancels out an opener from Solly March as Crystal Palace hold Brighton & Hove Albion to a 1-1 draw in the M23 derby.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Crystal Palace and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 54.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 22.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.83%) and 0-2 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 1-0 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
Crystal PalaceDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
22.53% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 23.08%54.39% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.65% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)67.35% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.98% (0.0049999999999955 0)34.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.29% (0.0020000000000024 0)70.71% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.55% (0.007000000000005 0.01)16.45% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.86% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)46.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Crystal Palace 22.53%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 54.38%
    Draw 23.08%
Crystal PalaceDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 6.04%
2-1 @ 5.87%
2-0 @ 3.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 2.11%
3-2 @ 1.9%
3-0 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 22.53%
1-1 @ 10.89%
0-0 @ 5.6% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.3% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.08%
0-1 @ 10.1%
1-2 @ 9.83%
0-2 @ 9.12%
1-3 @ 5.91% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 5.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 3.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 2.67%
0-4 @ 2.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-4 @ 1.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 54.38%

How you voted: Crystal Palace vs Brighton

Crystal Palace
16.3%
Draw
15.0%
Brighton & Hove Albion
68.6%
153
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2022 8pm
Sep 27, 2021 8pm
Crystal Palace
1-1
Brighton
Zaha (45+2' pen.)
Gallagher (84'), McArthur (90+7')
Maupay (90+5')
Lallana (28'), Cucurella (77'), Trossard (81'), Sanchez (90+7')
Feb 22, 2021 8pm
Oct 18, 2020 2pm
Crystal Palace
1-1
Brighton
Zaha (19' pen.)
Mitchell (63'), Guaita (76'), McArthur (86')
Mac Allister (90')
Ryan (18'), Bissouma (43')
Dunk (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool20145148202847
2Arsenal21127241192243
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest21125430201041
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle21115537221538
5Chelsea21107441261537
6Manchester CityMan City2110563829935
7Aston Villa2110563132-135
8Bournemouth219753225734
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2171043229331
10Fulham217953230230
11Brentford218494037328
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd217592629-326
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham217592741-1426
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs21731143321124
15Crystal Palace215972328-524
16Everton203891526-1117
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2144133148-1716
18Ipswich TownIpswich2137112037-1716
19Leicester CityLeicester2135132346-2314
20Southampton2113171347-346


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