Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 86.36%. A draw had a probability of 9.4% and a win for Hearts had a probability of 4.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 4-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.42%), while for a Hearts win it was 0-1 (1.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Celtic in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Celtic.
Result | ||
Celtic | Draw | Hearts |
86.36% ( 1.05) | 9.38% ( -0.49) | 4.26% ( -0.56) |
Both teams to score 44.33% ( -2.62) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.09% ( -0.59) | 26.9% ( 0.59) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.63% ( -0.75) | 47.36% ( 0.75) |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.83% ( 0.06) | 4.17% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
82.59% ( 0.21) | 17.41% ( -0.21) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
46.26% ( -2.76) | 53.74% ( 2.76) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.89% ( -1.79) | 87.11% ( 1.78) |
Score Analysis |
Celtic | Draw | Hearts |
3-0 @ 11.97% ( 0.6) 2-0 @ 11.3% ( 0.52) 4-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.53) 3-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.22) 1-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.25) 5-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.36) 4-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.15) 5-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.07) 6-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.27) 6-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.21) 7-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.1) 5-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.12) 7-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.4% Total : 86.34% | 1-1 @ 4.42% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.27) Other @ 0.54% Total : 9.38% | 0-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.18) Other @ 1.49% Total : 4.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 26 | 28 |
2 | Aberdeen | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 28 |
3 | RangersRangers | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 16 |
5 | Motherwell | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
6 | Dundee | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 12 |
7 | St Mirren | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |