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Celtic logo
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Dundee United
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Motherwell logo
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Ross County
St Johnstone logo
St Mirren logo
Kilmarnock logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 26
Feb 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
St Johnstone logo

Kilmarnock
3 - 1
St Johnstone

Polworth (9'), Murray (56'), Wales (60')
Mayo (49')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Carey (90+1')
Wright (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and St Johnstone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-0 Dundee Utd
Saturday, February 1 at 5.45pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Kilmarnock 2-1 St Johnstone

Kilmarnock may have faced their challenges this season, but their strong home form - losing only three of their 12 home fixtures - leads us to believe they will secure a victory here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 64.51%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 13.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.24%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawSt Johnstone
64.51% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04) 21.79% (0.022000000000002 0.02) 13.7% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 42.75% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.01% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)52.99% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.41% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)74.59% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.21% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)15.79% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.07% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)44.94% (0.052 0.05)
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.77% (0.013999999999996 0.01)49.23% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.88% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)84.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 64.5%
    St Johnstone 13.7%
    Draw 21.78%
KilmarnockDrawSt Johnstone
1-0 @ 14.34%
2-0 @ 13.24%
2-1 @ 9.38%
3-0 @ 8.15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.77% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 3.76% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.66% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
5-0 @ 1.39% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 0.98% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 64.5%
1-1 @ 10.16% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.77% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.33% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 21.78%
0-1 @ 5.51% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.6% (0.004 0)
0-2 @ 1.95% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 13.7%

Head to Head
Nov 23, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 13
St Johnstone
1-0
Kilmarnock
Kirk (53')
Holt (26'), Raymond (90+3')

Deas (17'), Donnelly (47')
Donnelly (84')
Aug 11, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 2
Kilmarnock
0-3
St Johnstone

J (2'), Deas (47'), Armstrong (75'), Kennedy (83')
Wright (16')
Sidibeh (3', 33'), Mbunga-Kimpioka (81' pen.)
Smith (29'), MacPherson (55'), Neilson (69'), Mbunga-Kimpioka (82')
Apr 13, 2024 3pm
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Kilmarnock
2-1
St Johnstone
Watson (6'), Watkins (17')
Clark (61')
Mitov (64')
Nov 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
St Johnstone
2-1
Kilmarnock
Clark (1', 7')
Kane (75'), Mitov (88')
Costelloe (76')
Vassell (47')
Wright (58'), Watson (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic29243287177075
2RangersRangers29185659263359
3Hibernian29111084440443
4Aberdeen29126113846-842
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd29118103636041
6Motherwell29114143448-1437
7Hearts29106134140136
8Ross County2998123149-1835
9St Mirren29104153547-1234
10Kilmarnock2987143347-1431
11Dundee2977154161-2028
12St Johnstone2974183254-2225


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