Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 64.51%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 13.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.24%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
Result | ||
Kilmarnock | Draw | St Johnstone |
64.51% (![]() | 21.79% (![]() | 13.7% (![]() |
Both teams to score 42.75% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.01% (![]() | 52.99% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.41% (![]() | 74.59% (![]() |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.21% (![]() | 15.79% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.07% (![]() | 44.94% (![]() |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.77% (![]() | 49.23% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.88% (![]() | 84.12% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Kilmarnock | Draw | St Johnstone |
1-0 @ 14.34% 2-0 @ 13.24% 2-1 @ 9.38% 3-0 @ 8.15% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.77% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.76% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.66% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.05% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.39% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 0.98% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 1.83% Total : 64.5% | 1-1 @ 10.16% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.77% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.33% ( ![]() Other @ 0.53% Total : 21.78% | 0-1 @ 5.51% (![]() 1-2 @ 3.6% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.95% ( ![]() Other @ 2.63% Total : 13.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 29 | 24 | 3 | 2 | 87 | 17 | 70 | 75 |
2 | RangersRangers | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 59 | 26 | 33 | 59 |
3 | Hibernian | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 44 | 40 | 4 | 43 |
4 | Aberdeen | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 42 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 41 |
6 | Motherwell | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 37 |
7 | Hearts | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 36 |
8 | Ross County | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 35 |
9 | St Mirren | 29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 34 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 31 |
11 | Dundee | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 41 | 61 | -20 | 28 |
12 | St Johnstone | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 25 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |