Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 80.81%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 6.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.79%), while for a St Mirren win it was 1-2 (2.12%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.
Result | ||
Rangers | Draw | St Mirren |
80.81% ( -0.06) | 12.39% ( 0.04) | 6.8% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 48.91% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.47% ( -0.08) | 30.53% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.17% ( -0.1) | 51.83% ( 0.1) |
Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.23% ( -0.03) | 5.76% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
77.79% ( -0.08) | 22.21% ( 0.08) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.9% ( -0) | 48.1% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.7% | 83.3% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Rangers | Draw | St Mirren |
2-0 @ 11.28% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 10.73% 2-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.86% ( -0) 4-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 4.37% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 3.2% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0) 6-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.05% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 4.22% Total : 80.8% | 1-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.02% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.8% Total : 12.39% | 1-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 6.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 44 |
2 | RangersRangers | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
3 | Aberdeen | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Motherwell | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 26 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 25 |
6 | St Mirren | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 24 |
7 | Dundee | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 19 |
8 | Hibernian | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 18 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 18 |
10 | Ross County | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35 | -21 | 15 |
11 | St Johnstone | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
12 | Hearts | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 13 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |