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Serie A | Gameweek 20
Jan 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Sampdoria logo

Atalanta
2 - 0
Sampdoria

Maehle (42'), Lookman (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Malagrida (86'), Leris (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sampdoria 0-1 Udinese
Sunday, January 22 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 2-1 Sampdoria

Having apparently reverted to the Atalanta of old, the hosts should have few difficulties in picking their way through Samp's porous defence, but could also get caught on the counter themselves. Though not always as comfortable at home as on the road, La Dea's hot streak will continue with another win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 72.55%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 10.61%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.21%) and 3-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.98%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (3.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Atalanta BC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atalanta BC.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawSampdoria
72.55% (0.046999999999997 0.05) 16.83% (-0.026 -0.03) 10.61% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 49.09% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.72% (0.036999999999999 0.04)39.27% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.39% (0.042000000000002 0.04)61.6% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.54% (0.019999999999996 0.02)9.46% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.23% (0.049999999999997 0.05)31.77% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.22% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)45.78% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.45% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)81.55% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 72.55%
    Sampdoria 10.61%
    Draw 16.83%
Atalanta BCDrawSampdoria
2-0 @ 12.04%
1-0 @ 10.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 9.46% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.4% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 5.58% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.36% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.89%
5-0 @ 2.63% (0.0079999999999996 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.7% (0.002 0)
6-0 @ 1.03% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 72.55%
1-1 @ 7.98% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.33% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.68% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 16.83%
0-1 @ 3.38% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.12% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.32% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 0.96% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 10.61%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Sampdoria

Atalanta BC
83.1%
Draw
14.5%
Sampdoria
2.4%
83
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 5.30pm
Sampdoria
0-2
Atalanta

Ferrari (1'), Verre (73'), Quagliarella (81'), Sabiri (81')
Toloi (26'), Lookman (90+4')
Okoli (19'), Pasalic (45'), Musso (80'), de Roon (84'), Zortea (88'), Hateboer (90+2')
Feb 28, 2022 7.50pm
Atalanta
4-0
Sampdoria
Pasalic (6'), Koopmeiners (29', 61'), Miranchuk (86')
Toloi (77')

Ekdal (48'), Thorsby (66')
Oct 27, 2021 5.30pm
Sampdoria
1-3
Atalanta
Caputo (10')
Thorsby (26'), Askildsen (29'), Colley (36'), Chabot (90+1')
Askildsen (17' og.), Zapata (21'), Ilicic (90+5')
Luis Palomino (14'), Ilicic (64'), Freuler (90+3')
Feb 28, 2021 11.30am
Sampdoria
0-2
Atalanta

Ekdal (63')
Malinovskyi (40'), Gosens (70')
Freuler (10'), Toloi (47'), de Roon (81')
Oct 24, 2020 2pm
Atalanta
1-3
Sampdoria
Zapata (80' pen.)
Mojica (44'), Malinovskiy (66'), Luis Palomino (86')
Quagliarella (13'), Thorsby (59'), Jankto (90+1')
Tonelli (31'), Yoshida (47'), Balde (69'), Jankto (71')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli17122326121438
2Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1594228111731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli164751416-219
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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