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Serie A | Gameweek 14
Nov 30, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Monza

Como
1 - 1
Monza

Engelhardt (36')
Paz (44'), Sala (83'), Iovine (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Caprari (54' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Como and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Como 0-2 Fiorentina
Sunday, November 24 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 1-1 Monza
Sunday, November 24 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Como 1-0 Monza

The stakes are already high in this battle at the bottom of Serie A, and it should be a tight, tense encounter. Neither side has scored freely this term, so one goal may decide the points' destiny - and hosts Como could claim them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for Monza had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
ComoDrawMonza
45.09% (0.753 0.75) 26.66% (0.042000000000002 0.04) 28.26% (-0.792 -0.79)
Both teams to score 49.45% (-0.59399999999999 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.93% (-0.54 -0.54)55.07% (0.543 0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.67% (-0.447 -0.45)76.33% (0.45099999999999 0.45)
Como Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.67% (0.131 0.13)24.34% (-0.128 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.27% (0.185 0.19)58.73% (-0.18 -0.18)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.35% (-0.89700000000001 -0.9)34.65% (0.9 0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.63% (-0.963 -0.96)71.38% (0.967 0.97)
Score Analysis
    Como 45.08%
    Monza 28.26%
    Draw 26.66%
ComoDrawMonza
1-0 @ 11.91% (0.29 0.29)
2-1 @ 8.93% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.42% (0.237 0.24)
3-1 @ 4.2% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.97% (0.126 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.49% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.4% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 45.08%
1-1 @ 12.63% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.43% (0.176 0.18)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.099 -0.1)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.66%
0-1 @ 8.94% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.69% (-0.164 -0.16)
0-2 @ 4.74% (-0.134 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.67% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.67% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 28.26%

How you voted: Como vs Monza

Como
66.7%
Draw
26.2%
Monza
7.1%
42
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 32
Como
2-0
Monza
Cerri (55'), La Gumina (80')
Cagnano (31'), Gabrielloni (88')

Mota (23'), Ciurria (86')
Nov 21, 2021 3.15pm
Gameweek 13
Monza
3-2
Como
Mota (16', 29'), Pepin (88')
Pereira (26'), Valoti (49'), Colpani (84'), Pepin (88')
Bellemo (60'), Vignali (65')
Bellemo (42'), Arrigoni (47'), Cerri (58')
Cerri (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan28187363273661
2Napoli28186445232260
3Atalanta BCAtalanta28177463263758
4Juventus281313245252052
5Lazio28156750361451
6Bologna281311444341050
7Roma28137843301346
8Fiorentina28136943301345
9AC Milan28128842321044
10Udinese28117103538-340
11Torino2881193334-135
12Genoa28711102636-1032
13Como2878133444-1029
14CagliariCagliari2868142843-1526
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2882182858-3026
16Lecce2867152046-2625
17Parma2859143448-1424
18Empoli28410142345-2222
19VeneziaVenezia28310152342-1919
20Monza2828182348-2514


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