Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 46.48%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Crotone win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result | ||
Crotone | Draw | Lazio |
27.7% | 25.82% | 46.48% |
Both teams to score 51.59% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.89% | 52.11% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.17% | 73.83% |
Crotone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.48% | 33.52% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.85% | 70.15% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.6% | 22.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.09% | 55.91% |
Score Analysis |
Crotone | Draw | Lazio |
1-0 @ 8.21% 2-1 @ 6.71% 2-0 @ 4.49% 3-1 @ 2.45% 3-2 @ 1.83% 3-0 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.39% Total : 27.7% | 1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 7.51% 2-2 @ 5.02% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.81% | 0-1 @ 11.23% 1-2 @ 9.19% 0-2 @ 8.4% 1-3 @ 4.58% 0-3 @ 4.19% 2-3 @ 2.5% 1-4 @ 1.71% 0-4 @ 1.57% 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.17% Total : 46.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 61 |
2 | Napoli | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 45 | 23 | 22 | 60 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 28 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 63 | 26 | 37 | 58 |
4 | Juventus | 28 | 13 | 13 | 2 | 45 | 25 | 20 | 52 |
5 | Lazio | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 36 | 14 | 51 |
6 | Bologna | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 50 |
7 | Roma | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 46 |
8 | Fiorentina | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 45 |
9 | AC Milan | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 44 |
10 | Udinese | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Torino | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 35 |
12 | Genoa | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 32 |
13 | Como | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 29 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 28 | 43 | -15 | 26 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 28 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 28 | 58 | -30 | 26 |
16 | Lecce | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 25 |
17 | Parma | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 24 |
18 | Empoli | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 23 | 45 | -22 | 22 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 28 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 19 |
20 | Monza | 28 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 23 | 48 | -25 | 14 |
> Serie A Full Table |