Serie A | Gameweek 23
Feb 19, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Fiorentina3 - 0Spezia
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 49.33%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 26.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Spezia |
| 49.33% | 24.4% | 26.26% |
| Both teams to score 54.91% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
