Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 68.91%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 12.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.86%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Juventus in this match.
Result | ||
Juventus | Draw | Genoa |
68.91% | 18.65% | 12.44% |
Both teams to score 48.92% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.28% | 42.72% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.87% | 65.13% |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.7% | 11.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.05% | 35.94% |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.16% | 44.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.19% | 80.81% |
Score Analysis |
Juventus | Draw | Genoa |
2-0 @ 12.04% 1-0 @ 11.05% 2-1 @ 9.66% 3-0 @ 8.75% 3-1 @ 7.02% 4-0 @ 4.77% 4-1 @ 3.83% 3-2 @ 2.82% 5-0 @ 2.08% 5-1 @ 1.67% 4-2 @ 1.54% Other @ 3.68% Total : 68.91% | 1-1 @ 8.86% 0-0 @ 5.07% 2-2 @ 3.87% Other @ 0.84% Total : 18.65% | 0-1 @ 4.07% 1-2 @ 3.55% 0-2 @ 1.63% 2-3 @ 1.04% 1-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.2% Total : 12.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |