Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Livorno had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Livorno win was 1-0 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Venezia would win this match.