Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 36.21%. A win for Reggina had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.73%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Reggina win was 1-0 (11.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.