Serie B | Gameweek 25
Feb 22, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Paolo Mazza
SPAL5 - 1Ternana
Coverage of the Serie B clash between SPAL and Ternana.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Ternana win was 0-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SPAL would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SPAL | Draw | Ternana |
| 43.07% | 24.95% | 31.98% |
| Both teams to score 56.82% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.61% | 46.39% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.32% | 68.68% |
| SPAL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.45% | 21.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.37% | 54.63% |
| Ternana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.43% | 27.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.91% | 63.09% |
| Score Analysis |
SPAL 43.07%
Ternana 31.98%
Draw 24.94%
| SPAL | Draw | Ternana |
| 1-0 @ 9.12% 2-1 @ 9.02% 2-0 @ 7% 3-1 @ 4.61% 3-0 @ 3.58% 3-2 @ 2.97% 4-1 @ 1.77% 4-0 @ 1.37% 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.5% Total : 43.07% | 1-1 @ 11.74% 0-0 @ 5.94% 2-2 @ 5.81% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 7.66% 1-2 @ 7.57% 0-2 @ 4.93% 1-3 @ 3.25% 2-3 @ 2.5% 0-3 @ 2.12% 1-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.91% Total : 31.98% |
How you voted: SPAL vs Ternana
SPAL
33.3%Draw
50.0%Ternana
16.7%6
Head to Head
Sep 26, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 6
Ternana
1-0
SPAL
Martella (26')
Paghera (14'), Sorensen (57'), Koutsoupias (79'), Iannarilli (83')
Paghera (14'), Sorensen (57'), Koutsoupias (79'), Iannarilli (83')
Celia (30')
