Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lausanne Sport win with a probability of 37.69%. A win for Servette had a probability of 37% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lausanne Sport win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.03%). The likeliest Servette win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lausanne Sport would win this match.