Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 20
Mar 8, 2024 at 4pm UK
Oblasny SportKomplex Metalist
Shakhtar3 - 2Kovalivka
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Shakhtar Donetsk and Kolos Kovalivka.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Shakhtar 5-2 Kryvbas Kryvyi
Sunday, March 3 at 4pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Sunday, March 3 at 4pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Kovalivka 0-1 Rukh Lviv
Saturday, March 2 at 4pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Saturday, March 2 at 4pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Goals
for
for
13
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 62.93%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Kolos Kovalivka had a probability of 15.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.39%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Kolos Kovalivka win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
Result | ||
Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Kolos Kovalivka |
62.93% ( 0.01) | 21.98% ( -0.02) | 15.09% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 45.47% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.84% ( 0.05) | 51.16% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.99% ( 0.05) | 73% ( -0.05) |
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.3% ( 0.02) | 15.69% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.24% ( 0.04) | 44.75% ( -0.05) |
Kolos Kovalivka Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.94% ( 0.03) | 46.06% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.23% ( 0.03) | 81.76% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Shakhtar Donetsk 62.92%
Kolos Kovalivka 15.09%
Draw 21.97%
Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Kolos Kovalivka |
1-0 @ 13.38% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 12.39% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.65% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.93% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.54% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.31% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 1.97% Total : 62.92% | 1-1 @ 10.37% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.73% ( 0) Other @ 0.65% Total : 21.97% | 0-1 @ 5.6% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.02% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.17% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.04% ( 0) 2-3 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 1.29% Total : 15.09% |
How you voted: Shakhtar vs Kovalivka
Shakhtar Donetsk
83.3%Draw
0.0%Kolos Kovalivka
16.7%6
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2023 1pm
Apr 28, 2023 1pm
Oct 19, 2022 3pm
May 14, 2022 1am
Gameweek 24
Shakhtar
0-0
Kovalivka
Nov 7, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 14
Kovalivka
1-3
Shakhtar
Ilyin (41')
Chornomorets (32'), Lysenko (45'), Novak (81')
Chornomorets (32'), Lysenko (45'), Novak (81')
Matviyenko (15'), Fernando (25'), Mudryk (72')
Bondarenko (36'), Patrick (47'), Marlos (59'), Fernando (79')
Bondarenko (36'), Patrick (47'), Marlos (59'), Fernando (79')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2025-01-30 21:14:42
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dynamo Kiev | 17 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 37 | 11 | 26 | 43 |
2 | FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
3 | Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 33 |
4 | Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 31 |
5 | Polissya ZhytomyrPolissya | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Karpaty LvivKarpaty | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 24 |
7 | Rukh Lviv | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
8 | Zorya LuhanskLuhansk | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 22 |
9 | Veres | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 19 |
10 | LNZ CherkasyCherkasy | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
11 | Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 18 |
12 | Vorskla PoltavaVorskla | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
13 | Livyi Bereh | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Obolon KyivObolon | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 29 | -19 | 14 |
15 | Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 12 |
16 | Inhulets | 16 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 31 | -19 | 9 |
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