MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 18:13:06| >> :300:86500:86500:
Shakhtar Donetsk
Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 20
Mar 8, 2024 at 4pm UK
Oblasny SportKomplex Metalist
Kovalivka

Shakhtar
3 - 2
Kovalivka

Kevin (50', 89'), Traore (65')
Kryskiv (53')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ilyin (8'), Traore (90+5' og.)
Chornomorets (74'), Cucos (75')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Shakhtar Donetsk and Kolos Kovalivka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kovalivka 0-1 Rukh Lviv
Saturday, March 2 at 4pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 62.93%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Kolos Kovalivka had a probability of 15.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.39%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Kolos Kovalivka win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.

Result
Shakhtar DonetskDrawKolos Kovalivka
62.93% (0.013999999999996 0.01) 21.98% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 15.09% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Both teams to score 45.47% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.84% (0.055 0.05)51.16% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.99% (0.048999999999999 0.05)73% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.3% (0.024000000000001 0.02)15.69% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.24% (0.043999999999997 0.04)44.75% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Kolos Kovalivka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.94% (0.032999999999994 0.03)46.06% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.23% (0.025000000000002 0.03)81.76% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Shakhtar Donetsk 62.92%
    Kolos Kovalivka 15.09%
    Draw 21.97%
Shakhtar DonetskDrawKolos Kovalivka
1-0 @ 13.38% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 12.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 7.65% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 5.93% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.54% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.75% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.31% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 62.92%
1-1 @ 10.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.23% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.73% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 21.97%
0-1 @ 5.6% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.02% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 2.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.04% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 15.09%

How you voted: Shakhtar vs Kovalivka

Shakhtar Donetsk
83.3%
Draw
0.0%
Kolos Kovalivka
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 5
Kovalivka
0-2
Shakhtar

Burda (32')
Nazaryna (25'), Kashchuk (45+2')
Sudakov (89')
Gocholeishvili (39')
Apr 28, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 23
Kovalivka
1-3
Shakhtar
Orikhovskyi (13')
Bondarenko (47' pen.), Traore (52'), Kelsy (80')
Oct 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 8
Shakhtar
3-0
Kovalivka
Mudryk (8', 56'), Taylor (47')
May 14, 2022 1am
Nov 7, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 14
Kovalivka
1-3
Shakhtar
Ilyin (41')
Chornomorets (32'), Lysenko (45'), Novak (81')
Matviyenko (15'), Fernando (25'), Mudryk (72')
Bondarenko (36'), Patrick (47'), Marlos (59'), Fernando (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Dynamo Kiev21156044152951
2FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya21145233161747
3Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar20125346163041
4Polissya ZhytomyrPolissya219752922734
5Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi199552319432
6Zorya LuhanskLuhansk209292525029
7Karpaty LvivKarpaty218582323029
8Veres217772728-128
9Rukh Lviv206862217526
10LNZ CherkasyCherkasy2064102029-922
11Livyi Bereh2064101221-922
12Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka203981317-418
13Vorskla PoltavaVorskla2046101627-1118
14Obolon KyivObolon2146111235-2318
15Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets2043131430-1615
16Inhulets1926111433-1912


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!