Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
Aug 31, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
The Oval
Caernarfon1 - 2Cardiff MU
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Cardiff MU.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Caernarfon 0-0 Bala Town
Monday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Monday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Cardiff MU 0-0 Haverfordwest
Monday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Monday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 46.3%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Cardiff MU in this match.
Result | ||
Caernarfon Town | Draw | Cardiff MU |
29.63% ( -0.03) | 24.06% ( -0.03) | 46.3% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 58.64% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.52% ( 0.1) | 43.47% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.13% ( 0.1) | 65.87% ( -0.09) |
Caernarfon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.34% ( 0.03) | 27.66% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.79% ( 0.04) | 63.2% ( -0.04) |
Cardiff MU Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.05% ( 0.06) | 18.95% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.53% ( 0.1) | 50.46% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Caernarfon Town 29.63%
Cardiff MU 46.3%
Draw 24.06%
Caernarfon Town | Draw | Cardiff MU |
2-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.09% 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.85% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.87% Total : 29.63% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.06% | 1-2 @ 9.32% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.25% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.17% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.02% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.3% Total : 46.3% |
Head to Head
May 10, 2024 7.45pm
Caernarfon
2-0
Cardiff MU
Craven (48'), McCarthy (55')
Mar 23, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Caernarfon
1-2
Cardiff MU
Clarke (84')
Donohue (90+6')
Donohue (90+6')
Craven (5'), Jones (13')
Soady (45+4')
Soady (45+4')
Feb 10, 2024 2.30pm
Jan 13, 2024 5.15pm
Oct 21, 2023 2.30pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-10-18 00:38:15
1.15am
Broncos
@
Saints
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 6 | 17 | 30 |
2 | Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 25 |
3 | The New SaintsNew Saints | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 9 | 20 | 21 |
4 | Cardiff MUCardiff MU | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 21 |
5 | Caernarfon TownCaernarfon | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 20 |
6 | Barry Town UnitedBarry | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 19 |
7 | Bala TownBala Town | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 18 |
8 | Newtown AFCNewtown | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 18 |
9 | Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 13 |
10 | Flint Town UnitedFlint Town | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 11 |
11 | Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 30 | -21 | 7 |
12 | Briton Ferry | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 26 | -16 | 5 |
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