MX23RW : Sunday, June 16 08:30:48| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League
May 18, 2024 at 2.45pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
3 - 1
Pen-y-Bont

Lloyd (20'), Clarke (26' pen.), Bradley (37')
Gosset (44'), Donohue (72')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Reynolds (90+1')
Harling (29'), Reffell (72')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Pen-y-Bont.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Caernarfon 2-0 Cardiff MU
Friday, May 10 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 0-5 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, May 11 at 12.20pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 63.97%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 16.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 2-1 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawPen-y-Bont
16.27% (-0.173 -0.17) 19.75% (0.028000000000002 0.03) 63.97% (0.145 0.14)
Both teams to score 55.39% (-0.51 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.66% (-0.477 -0.48)39.34% (0.477 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.32% (-0.5 -0.5)61.68% (0.5 0.5)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.69% (-0.505 -0.5)37.31% (0.505 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.9% (-0.501 -0.5)74.09% (0.50099999999999 0.5)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.35% (-0.102 -0.1)11.65% (0.102 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.31% (-0.219 -0.22)36.69% (0.219 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 16.27%
    Pen-y-Bont 63.97%
    Draw 19.75%
Caernarfon TownDrawPen-y-Bont
2-1 @ 4.54% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-0 @ 4.28% (0.037 0.04)
2-0 @ 2.11% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.6% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-1 @ 1.49% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 16.27%
1-1 @ 9.21% (0.042 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.88% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.35% (0.096 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 19.75%
0-2 @ 10.04% (0.138 0.14)
1-2 @ 9.9% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-1 @ 9.34% (0.17 0.17)
0-3 @ 7.2% (0.073 0.07)
1-3 @ 7.1% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-4 @ 3.87% (0.024 0.02)
1-4 @ 3.82% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.5% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.88% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-5 @ 1.66% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-5 @ 1.64% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 63.97%

Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
Caernarfon
2-4
Pen-y-Bont
Davies (52'), Bradley (90+3')
Donohue (14'), Williams (45+2'), Mooney (86')
Venables (7', 64', 90+1'), Jefferies (25')
Jones (10'), Reffell (65')
Sep 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Pen-y-Bont
3-2
Caernarfon
Venables (45+2', 76'), John Williams (90+11' og.)
Pennock (31'), Yorwerth (66'), Little (68')
Richard Williams (31'), Mooney (90+8')
Richard Williams (11'), Clarke (79')
Jan 7, 2023 12.45pm
Gameweek 6
Pen-y-Bont
5-1
Caernarfon
Reffell (9'), Reynolds (17'), Yorwerth (32'), Georgievsky (72'), Tweedy (82')
Cartwright (78')
Nov 5, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 14
Caernarfon
0-2
Pen-y-Bont
Wood (22'), Reynolds (70')
Dec 4, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
Caernarfon
1-2
Pen-y-Bont
Hayes (57')
Hughes (45')
Snaith (4'), Evans (90' og.)
Evans (59'), Watts (84')
rhs 2.0
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Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany11003
2 Switzerland Switzerland11003
3 Hungary Hungary10010
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

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1 Spain Spain11003
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Group F

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3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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