Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 8
Apr 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Park Hall Stadium
New Saints7 - 1Caernarfon
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between The New Saints and Caernarfon Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: New Saints 1-2 Airdrieonians
Sunday, March 24 at 4.15pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Sunday, March 24 at 4.15pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Goals
for
for
99
Last Game: Caernarfon 1-2 Cardiff MU
Saturday, March 23 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, March 23 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 88.63%. A draw had a probability of 7.3% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 4.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (8.23%) and 3-1 (7.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.9%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 1-2 (1.25%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| The New Saints | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
88.63% ( 0.6) | 7.32% ( -0.4) | 4.05% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 56.6% ( 0.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
