MX23RW : Friday, October 18 03:08:17| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 9
Sep 25, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Ground Cae-y-Castell

Flint Town
1 - 2
Caernarfon

Lambert (38')
Sanogo Fofana (23'), Lambert (32')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mendes (5'), Jones (87')
Mooney (66'), Gosset (90+4'), Jones (90+2')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Flint Town United and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Flint Town United

All competitions
Last Game: Briton Ferry 1-1 Flint Town
Saturday, September 21 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Barry 1-1 Caernarfon
Saturday, September 21 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flint Town United win with a probability of 46.8%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flint Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.75%) and 1-0 (5.67%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Flint Town UnitedDrawCaernarfon Town
46.8% (2.149 2.15) 21.75% (0.144 0.14) 31.45% (-2.295 -2.3)
Both teams to score 68.28% (-1.671 -1.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.73% (-1.746 -1.75)31.27% (1.743 1.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.29% (-2.09 -2.09)52.71% (2.088 2.09)
Flint Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.93% (0.060000000000002 0.06)14.06% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.34% (0.117 0.12)41.65% (-0.119 -0.12)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.46% (-2.001 -2)20.53% (2 2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.95% (-3.268 -3.27)53.04% (3.266 3.27)
Score Analysis
    Flint Town United 46.8%
    Caernarfon Town 31.45%
    Draw 21.75%
Flint Town UnitedDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 8.8% (0.343 0.34)
3-1 @ 5.75% (0.237 0.24)
1-0 @ 5.67% (0.541 0.54)
2-0 @ 5.56% (0.542 0.54)
3-2 @ 4.55% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
3-0 @ 3.63% (0.362 0.36)
4-1 @ 2.82% (0.122 0.12)
4-2 @ 2.23% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.78% (0.18 0.18)
4-3 @ 1.18% (-0.1 -0.1)
5-1 @ 1.11% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 46.8%
1-1 @ 8.97% (0.331 0.33)
2-2 @ 6.96% (-0.161 -0.16)
0-0 @ 2.89% (0.27 0.27)
3-3 @ 2.4% (-0.209 -0.21)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 21.75%
1-2 @ 7.1% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-1 @ 4.57% (0.159 0.16)
1-3 @ 3.75% (-0.344 -0.34)
2-3 @ 3.67% (-0.328 -0.33)
0-2 @ 3.62% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.91% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-4 @ 1.48% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-4 @ 1.45% (-0.233 -0.23)
3-4 @ 0.95% (-0.149 -0.15)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 31.45%

How you voted: Flint Town vs Caernarfon

Flint Town United
40.0%
Draw
0.0%
Caernarfon Town
60.0%
5
Head to Head
Apr 19, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 8
Flint Town
2-3
Caernarfon
Beaumont (18'), Diau (35')
Donohue (31' pen.), Edwards (49'), Faux (86')
Dec 23, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Flint Town
2-1
Caernarfon
Stephens (10'), Cole (90')
Faux (53')
Oct 14, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Caernarfon
2-0
Flint Town
O'Rourke (82'), Wynne (86')
May 14, 2022 2pm
Caernarfon
2-1
Flint Town
Gosset (97'), Bell (120')
Edwards (22'), Donohue (44')
Nash (102')
Hart (38'), Jones (100')
Dec 21, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Flint Town
3-4
Caernarfon
Roberts (28'), Cadwallader (75' pen., 77')
Weaver (3'), Jones (45'), Nash (69'), Kenny (70'), Harwood (85'), (87')
Weaver (88')
Hayes (21'), Hughes (22'), Edwards (42'), Donohue (45+2' pen.)
Hughes (35'), Williams (39'), Thomas (70'), Edwards (76'), Bailey (78'), John (89')
Simpson (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Broncos
@
Saints
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont139312361730
2Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest137421551025
3The New SaintsNew Saints107032992021
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU136341815321
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon136252119220
6Barry Town UnitedBarry135441921-219
7Bala TownBala Town134631814418
8Newtown AFCNewtown135351928-918
9Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay123451412213
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town133281525-1011
11Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth132110930-217
12Briton Ferry111281026-165
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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