Barcelona3 - 2Wolfsburg
Form, Standings, Stats
Thursday, April 27 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Monday, May 1 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
We said: Barcelona Women 2-1 Wolfsburg Women
With both clubs boasting impressive European pedigree, we expect Saturday's final to be a close-fought affair, but we think that Barcelona's technically-gifted midfield could control the pace of the contest and help their side claim a narrow victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 65.99%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Wolfsburg Women had a probability of 15.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.6%) and 3-1 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a Wolfsburg Women win it was 1-2 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona Women | Draw | Wolfsburg Women |
65.99% ( 6.77) | 18.07% ( -1.09) | 15.94% ( -5.68) |
| Both teams to score 61% ( -7.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
