Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varbergs BoIS win with a probability of 51.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Orebro had a probability of 23.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Varbergs BoIS win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Orebro win it was 0-1 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Varbergs BoIS in this match.