Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Minsk win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for Smolevichi had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Minsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Smolevichi win was 0-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Minsk would win this match.