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Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs | Finals | 2nd Leg
Jun 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Volksparkstadion
Stuttgart

Hamburger SV
1 - 3
Stuttgart

Kittel (6')
Kittel (65'), Muheim (65'), Bilbija (68'), Mikelbrencis (83'), Schonlau (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Millot (48', 64'), Wamangituka (90+6')
Mavropanos (25'), Guirassy (58'), Fuhrich (66'), Sosa (66'), Tomas (90+3'), Karazor (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs clash between Hamburger SV and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hamburger SV

All competitions
Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs
Last Game: Stuttgart 3-0 Hamburger SV
Thursday, June 1 at 7.45pm in Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs

Stuttgart

All competitions
Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs
Last Game: Stuttgart 3-0 Hamburger SV
Thursday, June 1 at 7.45pm in Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs

We said: Hamburger SV 1-1 Stuttgart

 Realistically, Hamburg can not afford to concede if they are to have any chance of finally returning to the Bundesliga, and they probably need to be leading at half time to have genuine belief of overturning a three-goal deficit. While stranger things have happened in football, we can not envisage Stuttgart letting their lead slip under Hoeness's tutelage, and they should comfortably secure their top flight status to inflict yet more agony on one of Germany's greatest clubs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 53.98%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 24.75% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.09%) and 1-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Hamburger SVDrawStuttgart
53.98% (-0.188 -0.19) 21.27% (0.223 0.22) 24.75% (-0.029 -0.03)
Both teams to score 64.33% (-0.872 -0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.9% (-1.119 -1.12)34.1% (1.124 1.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.02% (-1.278 -1.28)55.98% (1.283 1.28)
Hamburger SV Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.18% (-0.428 -0.43)12.82% (0.433 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.85% (-0.89 -0.89)39.15% (0.895 0.89)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.79% (-0.631 -0.63)26.21% (0.636 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.69% (-0.85299999999999 -0.85)61.31% (0.859 0.86)
Score Analysis
    Hamburger SV 53.98%
    Stuttgart 24.75%
    Draw 21.27%
Hamburger SVDrawStuttgart
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.072000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 7.09% (0.18 0.18)
1-0 @ 6.9% (0.285 0.29)
3-1 @ 6.5% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.86% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 4.35% (-0.12 -0.12)
4-1 @ 3.34% (-0.086 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.49% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.24% (-0.1 -0.1)
5-1 @ 1.37% (-0.059 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.03% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-3 @ 1% (-0.063 -0.06)
5-2 @ 0.92% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 53.98%
1-1 @ 9.24% (0.22 0.22)
2-2 @ 6.36% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-0 @ 3.36% (0.192 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.94% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 21.27%
1-2 @ 6.19% (0.037 0.04)
0-1 @ 4.5% (0.179 0.18)
0-2 @ 3.01% (0.068 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.84% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.76% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.34% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 24.75%

How you voted: Hamburger SV vs Stuttgart

Hamburger SV
42.7%
Draw
21.3%
Stuttgart
36.0%
89
Head to Head
Jun 1, 2023 7.45pm
Finals 1st Leg
Stuttgart
3-0
Hamburger SV
Mavropanos (1'), Vagnomann (51'), Guirassy (54')
Karazor (76')

Reis (15'), Konigsdorffer (73')
Suhonen (69')
> Preview
May 28, 2020 7.30pm
gameweek 28
Stuttgart
3-2
Hamburger SV
Endo (47'), Gonzalez (60' pen.), Castro (90+2')
Badstuber (45'), Forster (80'), Castro (90+3')
Pohjanpalo (16'), Hunt (45+2' pen.)
Vagnomann (78'), Hunt (88')
Oct 29, 2019 5.30pm
Second Round
Hamburger SV
1-2
Stuttgart
Hunt (16' pen.)
Jatta (51'), Narey (111')
Gonzalez (2' pen.), Al Ghaddioui (113')
Kempf (11'), Karazor (18'), Castro (51'), Mangala (67'), Badstuber (107')
Oct 26, 2019 12pm
gameweek 11
Hamburger SV
6-2
Stuttgart
Kittel (13' pen., 36'), Jatta (24'), Castro (56' og.), Harnik (76'), Fein (91')
Vagnoman (74')
Gonzalez (33'), Wamangituka (63')
Kempf (49'), Forster (66'), Castro (66')
Mar 31, 2018 2.30pm
Stuttgart
1-1
Hamburger SV
Ginczek (44')
Aogo (55')
Holtby (18')
Jung (57')
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