Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 56.19%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 19.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Barcelona SC win it was 0-1 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.