Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Helmond Sport win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Helmond Sport win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.67%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Helmond Sport would win this match.
