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FA Cup
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Keys Park

Hednesford
4 - 4
Gainsborough

Duku (4'), Holness (21', 95'), McHale (49')
Holness (55'), Taylor (113')
FT
(aet)
Howe (65', 77'), Lancaster (90+4'), Clarke (109')
Cogill (9'), Tuntulwana (55'), Tuntulwana (55'), Helliwell (113')
Gainsborough win 5-4 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Hednesford Town and Gainsborough Trinity, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hednesford Town

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Last Game: Gateshead 1-3 Hednesford
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
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Gainsborough Trinity

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Last Game: Boston 0-4 Gainsborough
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
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We say: Hednesford Town 2-3 Gainsborough Trinity

 Both teams defied their place in the league pyramid and own form to upset the odds in the fourth qualifying round, putting them on somewhat of an even platform here. While Hednesford rose to the occasion versus Gateshead, we feel that Gainsborough will prove too strong in attack given their recent exploits on their travels. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gainsborough Trinity win with a probability of 53.73%. A win for Hednesford Town had a probability of 24.55% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gainsborough Trinity win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.54%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Hednesford Town win was 2-1 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%).

Result
Hednesford TownDrawGainsborough Trinity
24.55% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09) 21.72% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07) 53.73% (0.171 0.17)
Both teams to score 62.4% (0.164 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.48% (0.263 0.26)36.52% (-0.26 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.33% (0.286 0.29)58.67% (-0.283 -0.28)
Hednesford Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.32% (0.069999999999993 0.07)27.68% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.77% (0.088000000000001 0.09)63.23% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Gainsborough Trinity Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.29% (0.14400000000001 0.14)13.71% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.04% (0.285 0.28)40.96% (-0.282 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Hednesford Town 24.55%
    Gainsborough Trinity 53.73%
    Draw 21.73%
Hednesford TownDrawGainsborough Trinity
2-1 @ 6.22% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-0 @ 4.88% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-0 @ 3.13% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.66% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.65% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.34% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 24.55%
1-1 @ 9.69% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.18% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.8% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.75% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 21.73%
1-2 @ 9.62% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
0-1 @ 7.54% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-2 @ 7.49% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 6.37% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 4.96% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 4.09% (0.027 0.03)
1-4 @ 3.17% (0.032 0.03)
0-4 @ 2.47% (0.02 0.02)
2-4 @ 2.03% (0.024 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.26% (0.019 0.02)
0-5 @ 0.98% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 53.73%

How you voted: Hednesford vs Gainsborough

Hednesford Town
33.3%
Draw
14.3%
Gainsborough Trinity
52.4%
21
rhs 2.0
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> Premier League Full Table


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