MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 05:28:26| >> :120:5935:5935:
Albania national football team
Friendlies 2
Jun 7, 2024 at 6pm UK
Air Albania Stadium
Azerbaijan national football team

Albania
3 - 1
Azerbaijan

Bajrami (12'), Manaj (81'), Laci (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gurbanli (90')
Mustafaev (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Albania and Azerbaijan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Albania 3-0 Liechtenstein
Monday, June 3 at 7pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Azerbaijan 1-1 Bulgaria
Monday, March 25 at 4pm in International Friendlies
Current Group F Standings P GD PTS
1Belgium81820
2Austria81019
3Sweden8210
4Azerbaijan8-107
5Estonia8-201

We said: Albania 2-0 Azerbaijan

Both nations will fancy their chances of claiming a positive result from Friday's fixture, but considering the recent rise of Albania and the importance a victory could have on their preparations for Euro 2024, we believe that Sylvinho's side will find a way to come out on top. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albania win with a probability of 75.96%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 8.44%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albania win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.05%) and 3-0 (10.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.41%), while for an Azerbaijan win it was 0-1 (3.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Albania would win this match.

Result
AlbaniaDrawAzerbaijan
75.96% (3.075 3.07) 15.59% (-1.609 -1.61) 8.44% (-1.469 -1.47)
Both teams to score 44.49% (-0.58000000000001 -0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.52% (2.657 2.66)40.48% (-2.66 -2.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.14% (2.677 2.68)62.86% (-2.68 -2.68)
Albania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.03% (1.423 1.42)8.96% (-1.426 -1.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.42% (3.332 3.33)30.57% (-3.335 -3.34)
Azerbaijan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.87% (-1.424 -1.42)51.12% (1.421 1.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.57% (-0.972 -0.97)85.42% (0.96900000000001 0.97)
Score Analysis
    Albania 75.94%
    Azerbaijan 8.44%
    Draw 15.59%
AlbaniaDrawAzerbaijan
2-0 @ 13.32% (0.09 0.09)
1-0 @ 11.05% (-0.64 -0.64)
3-0 @ 10.71% (0.717 0.72)
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.313 -0.31)
3-1 @ 7.19% (0.205 0.21)
4-0 @ 6.47% (0.807 0.81)
4-1 @ 4.34% (0.382 0.38)
5-0 @ 3.12% (0.556 0.56)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-1 @ 2.09% (0.301 0.3)
4-2 @ 1.46% (0.072 0.07)
6-0 @ 1.25% (0.287 0.29)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 75.94%
1-1 @ 7.41% (-0.76 -0.76)
0-0 @ 4.58% (-0.583 -0.58)
2-2 @ 3% (-0.235 -0.24)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 15.59%
0-1 @ 3.07% (-0.536 -0.54)
1-2 @ 2.49% (-0.37 -0.37)
0-2 @ 1.03% (-0.231 -0.23)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 8.44%

How you voted: Albania vs Azerbaijan

Albania
76.6%
Draw
14.9%
Azerbaijan
8.5%
47
rhs 2.0
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