Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Infetti Ground
Malta1 - 3Ukraine
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Italy 4-0 Malta
Saturday, October 14 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Saturday, October 14 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | England | 5 | 14 | 13 |
| 2 | Italy | 5 | 6 | 10 |
| 3 | Ukraine | 6 | 1 | 10 |
| 4 | North Macedonia | 6 | -7 | 7 |
| 5 | Malta | 6 | -14 | 0 |
We said: Malta 0-3 Ukraine
Asserting their dominance in this fixture has not been Ukraine's forte, as Malta memorably overcame the Blue and Yellow in a 2017 friendly before only losing out to a Tsygankov spot kick in their maiden competitive meeting this year. However, the Reds' resistance should be futile here, and without the services of Teuma or Jones in the final third, another goalless defeat lies in store as Ukraine boost their top-two hopes again. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ukraine win with a probability of 59.6%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Malta had a probability of 18.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ukraine win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.77%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Malta win it was 1-0 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ukraine would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Malta | Draw | Ukraine |
18.1% ( 0.23) | 22.3% ( 0.29) | 59.6% ( -0.51) |
| Both teams to score 50.65% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
