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MK Dons
League One | Gameweek 27
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Lincoln City

MK Dons
0 - 0
Lincoln


McEachran (75')
FT

O'Connor (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between MK Dons and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Plymouth 3-1 MK Dons
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: MK Dons 2-3 Lincoln City

Lincoln City have the perfect opportunity to put an end to their bad run of form on Saturday, given MK Dons' struggles at home, and we expect them to win by a narrow margin. Clean sheets have often eluded both teams in recent weeks, so there could well be plenty of goals, but the Imps just have that extra little bit of quality. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 52.82%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Lincoln City had a probability of 23.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Lincoln City win it was 0-1 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
MK DonsDrawLincoln City
52.82% (0.082000000000001 0.08) 24.05% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 23.13% (-0.061 -0.06)
Both teams to score 52.77% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.52% (0.027000000000001 0.03)48.47% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.39% (0.024999999999999 0.02)70.6% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.69% (0.041999999999987 0.04)18.3% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.61% (0.071000000000005 0.07)49.38% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.6% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)35.4% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.83% (-0.043000000000003 -0.04)72.16% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 52.82%
    Lincoln City 23.13%
    Draw 24.04%
MK DonsDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 11%
2-1 @ 9.7% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.34% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.29% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.85% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.33% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.25% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 52.82%
1-1 @ 11.42% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.48% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.04%
0-1 @ 6.73% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.49% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.05% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.21% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 23.13%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Lincoln

MK Dons
42.9%
Draw
28.6%
Lincoln City
28.6%
7
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Dec 26, 2021 3pm
Lincoln
2-3
MK Dons
O'Hora (4' og.), Maguire (8' pen.)
McGrandles (43'), Bridcutt (60'), Eyoma (81'), Maguire (90+2')
Twine (60', 90'), O'Riley (75')
Twine (43'), Darling (79')
Apr 13, 2021 7pm
Lincoln
4-0
MK Dons
Johnson (48', 53', 59' pen.), Fisher (73' og.)
Poole (14'), Johnson (20')

Laird (39'), Kasumu (66'), Darling (72'), Harvie (87'), Lewington (90+5')
Sep 19, 2020 3pm
MK Dons
1-2
Lincoln
Mason (58')
Harvie (25'), Houghton (45+3'), Cargill (64'), Brittain (69'), Kasumu (73')
Grant (11' pen.), Hopper (78')
Jones (54'), Morton (69'), Eyoma (90+3')
Feb 11, 2020 7.45pm
Lincoln
1-1
MK Dons
Bridcutt (22')
Morrell (31'), Grant (36'), Bridcutt (65'), Edun (69')
Healey (3')
Houghton (83')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham7610168819
2Wrexham8521146817
3Lincoln CityLincoln7421126614
4Blackpool84221613314
5Mansfield TownMansfield74211311214
6Barnsley84221311214
7Wycombe WanderersWycombe74121411313
8Charlton AthleticCharlton841376113
9Stockport CountyStockport7331117412
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield84041210212
11Stevenage832365111
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough83231414011
13Exeter CityExeter731386210
14Bolton WanderersBolton7313911-210
15Reading7313911-210
16Wigan AthleticWigan82336519
17Northampton TownNorthampton722389-18
18Leyton Orient8224911-28
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham8143610-47
20Crawley TownCrawley7214510-57
21Bristol Rovers8215713-67
22Burton Albion7043813-54
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury8116613-74
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge7016615-91


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