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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Port Vale | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
39.02% ( -0.74) | 24.83% ( 0.24) | 36.15% ( 0.5) |
Both teams to score 58.31% ( -0.81) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.08% ( -1.08) | 44.92% ( 1.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.73% ( -1.05) | 67.27% ( 1.05) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.12% ( -0.85) | 22.88% ( 0.85) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.38% ( -1.27) | 56.62% ( 1.27) |
Charlton Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.61% ( -0.22) | 24.39% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.2% ( -0.32) | 58.8% ( 0.32) |
Score Analysis |
Port Vale | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
2-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 2.98% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.24% Total : 39.02% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.26) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.83% | 1-2 @ 8.19% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.31) 0-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 3.85% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.94% Total : 36.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 53 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 50 | 26 | 24 | 51 |
3 | Wrexham | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 44 |
5 | Barnsley | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 42 |
6 | Reading | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 41 |
7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 37 |
9 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 37 |
10 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 37 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 34 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
13 | Stevenage | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 31 |
14 | Exeter CityExeter | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 31 |
15 | Blackpool | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 30 |
16 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 28 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 27 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 26 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 25 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 25 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 20 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 17 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 17 |
24 | Burton Albion | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 14 |
> League One Full Table |