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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Port Vale | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
39.02% (![]() | 24.83% (![]() | 36.15% (![]() |
Both teams to score 58.31% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.08% (![]() | 44.92% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.73% (![]() | 67.27% (![]() |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.12% (![]() | 22.88% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.38% (![]() | 56.62% (![]() |
Charlton Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.61% (![]() | 24.39% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.2% (![]() | 58.8% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Port Vale | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
2-1 @ 8.57% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.23% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.07% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.21% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.98% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.97% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.55% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.1% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 2.24% Total : 39.02% | 1-1 @ 11.61% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.04% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.58% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.4% ( ![]() Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.83% | 1-2 @ 8.19% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.87% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.55% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.85% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.84% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.61% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.36% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 1.94% Total : 36.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 37 | 26 | 8 | 3 | 63 | 25 | 38 | 86 |
2 | Wrexham | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 77 |
3 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 65 | 36 | 29 | 74 |
4 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 39 | 20 | 9 | 10 | 53 | 35 | 18 | 69 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 39 | 19 | 11 | 9 | 55 | 36 | 19 | 68 |
6 | Reading | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 55 | 47 | 8 | 62 |
7 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 61 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 60 | 57 | 3 | 60 |
9 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 18 | 5 | 15 | 54 | 38 | 16 | 59 |
10 | Blackpool | 39 | 14 | 15 | 10 | 59 | 51 | 8 | 57 |
11 | Barnsley | 39 | 15 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 54 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 39 | 13 | 11 | 15 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 50 |
13 | Stevenage | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 49 |
14 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 47 |
15 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 57 | 63 | -6 | 45 |
16 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 45 |
17 | Exeter CityExeter | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 45 |
18 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 44 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 39 | 10 | 13 | 16 | 38 | 57 | -19 | 43 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 39 | 12 | 6 | 21 | 40 | 63 | -23 | 42 |
21 | Burton Albion | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 39 | 55 | -16 | 36 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 39 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 36 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 39 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 31 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 38 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 35 | 66 | -31 | 28 |
> League One Full Table |