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Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 27
Jan 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Charlton Athletic

Port Vale
3 - 3
Charlton

Chislett (45' pen.), Ikpeazu (63'), Massey (90+2')
Crosby (33'), Smith (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Taylor (27'), Kanu (59'), Campbell (83')
Jones (32'), Dobson (74'), Watson (87'), Thomas (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Port Vale and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 1-2 Oxford Utd
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 1-1 Charlton Athletic

There is only goal difference to split these teams right now in the league, therefore this promises to be a closely-contested match. With each team heading into the game on the back of a defeat a cautious approach could be shown which might lead to them sharing the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawCharlton Athletic
39.02% (-0.744 -0.74) 24.83% (0.243 0.24) 36.15% (0.501 0.5)
Both teams to score 58.31% (-0.814 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.08% (-1.083 -1.08)44.92% (1.083 1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.73% (-1.05 -1.05)67.27% (1.051 1.05)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.12% (-0.84699999999999 -0.85)22.88% (0.846 0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.38% (-1.266 -1.27)56.62% (1.266 1.27)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.61% (-0.223 -0.22)24.39% (0.223 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.2% (-0.317 -0.32)58.8% (0.317 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 39.02%
    Charlton Athletic 36.15%
    Draw 24.83%
Port ValeDrawCharlton Athletic
2-1 @ 8.57% (-0.086 -0.09)
1-0 @ 8.23% (0.177 0.18)
2-0 @ 6.07% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.21% (-0.152 -0.15)
3-0 @ 2.98% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.97% (-0.127 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.097 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.1% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 39.02%
1-1 @ 11.61% (0.18 0.18)
2-2 @ 6.04% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-0 @ 5.58% (0.256 0.26)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.83%
1-2 @ 8.19% (0.071 0.07)
0-1 @ 7.87% (0.312 0.31)
0-2 @ 5.55% (0.185 0.19)
1-3 @ 3.85% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.84% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.61% (0.071 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-4 @ 0.92% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 36.15%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Charlton

Port Vale
40.8%
Draw
36.7%
Charlton Athletic
22.4%
49
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Charlton
2-3
Port Vale
May (10' pen.), Kanu (71')
May (32'), Maynard-Brewer (34'), Anderson (38'), Hector (90+7')
Wilson (55'), Chislett (56'), Ojo (87')
Ripley (9'), Chislett (50'), Arblaster (76')
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Charlton
3-2
Port Vale
Campbell (14'), Rak-Sakyi (57'), Leaburn (77')
Plant (62'), Taylor (90+7' pen.)
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Nov 19, 2016 3pm
Oct 18, 2016 7.45pm
Port Vale
1-1
Charlton
Jones (85' pen.)
Tavares (81')
Ulvestad (30')
Holmes (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe24156350262451
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield23135536191744
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2311483534137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Stevenage238781820-231
14Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
15Blackpool247983235-330
16Rotherham UnitedRotherham237792123-228
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814


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