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Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 27
Jan 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Charlton Athletic

Port Vale
3 - 3
Charlton

Chislett (45' pen.), Ikpeazu (63'), Massey (90+2')
Crosby (33'), Smith (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Taylor (27'), Kanu (59'), Campbell (83')
Jones (32'), Dobson (74'), Watson (87'), Thomas (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Port Vale and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 1-2 Oxford Utd
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 1-1 Charlton Athletic

There is only goal difference to split these teams right now in the league, therefore this promises to be a closely-contested match. With each team heading into the game on the back of a defeat a cautious approach could be shown which might lead to them sharing the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawCharlton Athletic
39.02% (-0.744 -0.74) 24.83% (0.243 0.24) 36.15% (0.501 0.5)
Both teams to score 58.31% (-0.814 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.08% (-1.083 -1.08)44.92% (1.083 1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.73% (-1.05 -1.05)67.27% (1.051 1.05)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.12% (-0.84699999999999 -0.85)22.88% (0.846 0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.38% (-1.266 -1.27)56.62% (1.266 1.27)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.61% (-0.223 -0.22)24.39% (0.223 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.2% (-0.317 -0.32)58.8% (0.317 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 39.02%
    Charlton Athletic 36.15%
    Draw 24.83%
Port ValeDrawCharlton Athletic
2-1 @ 8.57% (-0.086 -0.09)
1-0 @ 8.23% (0.177 0.18)
2-0 @ 6.07% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.21% (-0.152 -0.15)
3-0 @ 2.98% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.97% (-0.127 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.097 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.1% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 39.02%
1-1 @ 11.61% (0.18 0.18)
2-2 @ 6.04% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-0 @ 5.58% (0.256 0.26)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.83%
1-2 @ 8.19% (0.071 0.07)
0-1 @ 7.87% (0.312 0.31)
0-2 @ 5.55% (0.185 0.19)
1-3 @ 3.85% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.84% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.61% (0.071 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-4 @ 0.92% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 36.15%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Charlton

Port Vale
40.8%
Draw
36.7%
Charlton Athletic
22.4%
49
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Charlton
2-3
Port Vale
May (10' pen.), Kanu (71')
May (32'), Maynard-Brewer (34'), Anderson (38'), Hector (90+7')
Wilson (55'), Chislett (56'), Ojo (87')
Ripley (9'), Chislett (50'), Arblaster (76')
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Charlton
3-2
Port Vale
Campbell (14'), Rak-Sakyi (57'), Leaburn (77')
Plant (62'), Taylor (90+7' pen.)
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Nov 19, 2016 3pm
Oct 18, 2016 7.45pm
Port Vale
1-1
Charlton
Jones (85' pen.)
Tavares (81')
Ulvestad (30')
Holmes (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Falcons
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham8710178922
2Wrexham9522147717
3Mansfield TownMansfield85211511417
4Stockport CountyStockport8431137615
5Lincoln CityLincoln8431137615
6Blackpool94321714315
7Barnsley94321513215
8Wycombe WanderersWycombe84221613314
9Stevenage942375214
10Exeter CityExeter841396313
11Bolton WanderersBolton84131313013
12Reading84131212013
13Charlton AthleticCharlton941499013
14Wigan AthleticWigan933395412
15Huddersfield TownHuddersfield94051211112
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough93241417-311
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham9243710-310
18Bristol Rovers93151015-510
19Northampton TownNorthampton82241013-38
20Leyton Orient9225912-38
21Crawley TownCrawley8215512-77
22Burton Albion8044916-74
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury9117615-94
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge8017616-101


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