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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 56.74%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 21.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.87%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 2-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Peterborough United in this match.
Result | ||
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Peterborough United |
21.52% ( -0.11) | 21.74% ( -0.04) | 56.74% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 58.29% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.86% ( 0.03) | 40.14% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.49% ( 0.04) | 62.51% ( -0.03) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.77% ( -0.08) | 32.22% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.28% ( -0.09) | 68.72% ( 0.1) |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86% ( 0.06) | 13.99% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.48% ( 0.12) | 41.52% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Peterborough United |
2-1 @ 5.69% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 21.52% | 1-1 @ 10.04% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.74% | 1-2 @ 9.88% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.72% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 6.47% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 5.72% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.67% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.18% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.81% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.8% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.27% Total : 56.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |