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Championship header 2

League Two
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 7
Sep 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
County Ground
Sutton United

Swindon
5 - 3
Sutton

Young (5', 23'), Cain (16'), Kemp (65'), Hepburn-Murphy (87')
Godwin-Malife (85')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Clay (34'), Goodliffe (39'), Smith (77')
Gray (0'), Milsom (74'), Goodliffe (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 0-0 Swindon
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two

Sutton United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Sutton 0-1 Forest Green
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 2-0 Sutton United

 Sutton are capable of making this a difficult match for Swindon despite their struggles this season, but we are finding it difficult to back against the home side, who hit Crawley for six in their last match in front of their own supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 46.65%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawSutton United
46.65% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 24.96% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 28.39% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.78% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.83% (0.017000000000003 0.02)48.17% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.68% (0.016999999999999 0.02)70.32% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.31% (0.01100000000001 0.01)20.69% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.71% (0.018000000000001 0.02)53.29% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)30.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.78% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)67.22% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 46.64%
    Sutton United 28.39%
    Draw 24.96%
Swindon TownDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 10.08%
2-1 @ 9.32% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.94%
3-1 @ 4.89% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.17% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.87% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.93% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.64% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 46.64%
1-1 @ 11.83%
0-0 @ 6.4% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.96%
0-1 @ 7.51% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 6.94% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 4.41% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.72%
2-3 @ 2.14%
0-3 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 28.39%

How you voted: Swindon vs Sutton

Swindon Town
100%
Draw
0.0%
Sutton United
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Sutton
2-1
Swindon
Angol (85'), Smith (88')
Austin (14')
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Swindon
3-2
Sutton
Shade (35'), Williams (38'), Wakeling (90+2')
Randall (4', 42')
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Swindon
2-1
Sutton
Davison (14'), McKirdy (49')
Reed (35'), Iandolo (63'), Davison (70')
Reed (90+3')
Kizzi (28')
Boldewijn (49'), Rowe (85')
> Preview
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Sutton
1-2
Swindon
Beautyman (39' pen.)
John (24'), Bugiel (60'), Barden (90+6')
Reed (17'), Williams (31')
McKirdy (87'), Crichlow (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914
> League Two Full Table


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