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Championship header 2

League Two
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 7
Sep 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
County Ground
Sutton United

Swindon
5 - 3
Sutton

Young (5', 23'), Cain (16'), Kemp (65'), Hepburn-Murphy (87')
Godwin-Malife (85')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Clay (34'), Goodliffe (39'), Smith (77')
Gray (0'), Milsom (74'), Goodliffe (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 0-0 Swindon
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two

Sutton United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Sutton 0-1 Forest Green
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 2-0 Sutton United

 Sutton are capable of making this a difficult match for Swindon despite their struggles this season, but we are finding it difficult to back against the home side, who hit Crawley for six in their last match in front of their own supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 46.65%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawSutton United
46.65% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 24.96% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 28.39% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.78% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.83% (0.017000000000003 0.02)48.17% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.68% (0.016999999999999 0.02)70.32% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.31% (0.01100000000001 0.01)20.69% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.71% (0.018000000000001 0.02)53.29% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)30.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.78% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)67.22% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 46.64%
    Sutton United 28.39%
    Draw 24.96%
Swindon TownDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 10.08%
2-1 @ 9.32% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.94%
3-1 @ 4.89% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.17% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.87% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.93% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.64% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 46.64%
1-1 @ 11.83%
0-0 @ 6.4% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.96%
0-1 @ 7.51% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 6.94% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 4.41% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.72%
2-3 @ 2.14%
0-3 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 28.39%

How you voted: Swindon vs Sutton

Swindon Town
100%
Draw
0.0%
Sutton United
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Sutton
2-1
Swindon
Angol (85'), Smith (88')
Austin (14')
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Swindon
3-2
Sutton
Shade (35'), Williams (38'), Wakeling (90+2')
Randall (4', 42')
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Swindon
2-1
Sutton
Davison (14'), McKirdy (49')
Reed (35'), Iandolo (63'), Davison (70')
Reed (90+3')
Kizzi (28')
Boldewijn (49'), Rowe (85')
> Preview
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Sutton
1-2
Swindon
Beautyman (39' pen.)
John (24'), Bugiel (60'), Barden (90+6')
Reed (17'), Williams (31')
McKirdy (87'), Crichlow (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Steelers
@
Browns
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310
> League Two Full Table


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