Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 38.26%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 34.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (10.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.