Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.