Ajaccio

2 - 1

Troyes

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 40.9%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 29.13%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.34%) and 2-1 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.35%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajaccio would win this match.