Major League Soccer

Mar 20, 2022 at 12.30am UK

Pizza Hut Park

Dallas
4 - 1
Portland

Ferreira (26', 30', 36'), Arriola (77')
Velasco (44'), Nanu (76')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Niezgoda (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Dallas and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Dallas 2-2 Portland Timbers

With hopes of silverware before the season kicked off, Portland's confidence remains high after a steady first three games in MLS. Dallas will not be a pushover for the Timbers, yet their unbeaten record is likely to remain intact come the end of the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 58.01%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 18.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.

Result
Dallas	Draw	Portland Timbers
58.01%	23.08%	18.91%

Both teams to score 49.69%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.48%

49.52%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.45%

71.55%

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.21%

16.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.25%

46.75%

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.72%

40.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.09%

76.91%

Score Analysis

Dallas 58%

Portland Timbers 18.91%

Draw 23.07%

Dallas	Draw	Portland Timbers
1-0 @ 12.06% 2-0 @ 10.76% 2-1 @ 9.79% 3-0 @ 6.4% 3-1 @ 5.82% 4-0 @ 2.86% 3-2 @ 2.65% 4-1 @ 2.6% 4-2 @ 1.18% 5-0 @ 1.02% 5-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.93% Total : 58%	1-1 @ 10.97% 0-0 @ 6.76% 2-2 @ 4.45% Other @ 0.89% Total : 23.07%	0-1 @ 6.15% 1-2 @ 4.99% 0-2 @ 2.8% 1-3 @ 1.51% 2-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.11% Total : 18.91%