Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 67.87%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 13.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 1-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for an Austin FC win it was 1-2 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.