Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solihull Moors win with a probability of 53.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Torquay United had a probability of 23.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Solihull Moors win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Torquay United win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Solihull Moors would win this match.
Result | ||
Solihull Moors | Draw | Torquay United |
53.46% ( 1.41) | 23.47% ( -0.58) | 23.08% ( -0.83) |
Both teams to score 54.57% ( 0.89) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.94% ( 1.65) | 46.06% ( -1.65) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.64% ( 1.54) | 68.37% ( -1.54) |
Solihull Moors Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.83% ( 1.14) | 17.17% ( -1.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.58% ( 1.97) | 47.43% ( -1.97) |
Torquay United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.88% ( 0.17) | 34.12% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.19% ( 0.18) | 70.81% ( -0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Solihull Moors | Draw | Torquay United |
1-0 @ 10.32% ( -0.33) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.74% ( 0.26) 3-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.2) 4-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.18) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.85% Total : 53.45% | 1-1 @ 11.1% ( -0.3) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.42) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.47% | 0-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.42) 1-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.19% Total : 23.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
2 | York City | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 25 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 24 |
4 | Rochdale | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 23 |
5 | Gateshead | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 23 |
6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 23 |
7 | Eastleigh | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 21 |
8 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 17 |
11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 17 |
12 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
13 | Woking | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 15 |
14 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
15 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 |
17 | Tamworth | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
18 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 13 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 11 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 10 |
21 | Boston UnitedBoston | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 9 |
22 | Fylde | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 9 |
23 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 25 | -16 | 5 |
> National League Full Table |