Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 48.59%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 26% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.82%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-0 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.