Russian Premier League | Gameweek 4
Aug 6, 2022 at 3.30pm UK
VEB Arena
CSKA4 - 1Fakel
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between CSKA Moscow and Fakel.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nizhny Novgorod 2-2 CSKA
Sunday, July 31 at 1pm in Russian Premier League
Sunday, July 31 at 1pm in Russian Premier League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Spartak Moscow | 3 | 6 | 7 |
3 | CSKA Moscow | 3 | 5 | 7 |
4 | Sochi | 3 | 0 | 6 |
Last Game: Fakel 3-3 Dynamo Moscow
Saturday, July 30 at 1pm in Russian Premier League
Saturday, July 30 at 1pm in Russian Premier League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
11 | Orenburg | 3 | -2 | 3 |
12 | Fakel | 3 | -1 | 2 |
13 | Nizhny Novgorod | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 56.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Fakel win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.
Result | ||
CSKA Moscow | Draw | Fakel |
56.73% ( 0.03) | 23.07% ( -0.01) | 20.2% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 51.81% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.24% ( 0.02) | 47.76% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.05% ( 0.02) | 69.95% ( -0.02) |
CSKA Moscow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.38% ( 0.02) | 16.62% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.56% ( 0.03) | 46.44% ( -0.03) |
Fakel Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.14% ( -0.01) | 37.86% ( 0) |