Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 41.62%. A win for CSKA Moscow had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.
