Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 66.95%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 13.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.02%), while for a Ural Yekaterinburg win it was 0-1 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.