Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Real Sociedad B had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.63%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Real Sociedad B win was 1-0 (11.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.