Sudtirol

2 - 1

Modena

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Sudtirol had a probability of 32.75% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.99%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Sudtirol win was 1-0 (10.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.