Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grasshopper Zurich win with a probability of 39.01%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grasshopper Zurich win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Lugano win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.