Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metal Kharkiv win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metal Kharkiv win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Metalist Kharkiv win was 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Metalist Kharkiv	Draw	Metal Kharkiv
35.18% ( 0.81)	26.32% ( 0.18)	38.5% ( -0.99)

Both teams to score 53.05% (

-0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.37% (

-0.66)

51.63% (

0.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.58% (

-0.57)

73.41% (

0.58)

Metalist Kharkiv Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.88% (

0.18)

28.12% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.21% (

0.22)

63.79% (

-0.22)

Metal Kharkiv Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.8% (

-0.84)

26.19% (

0.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.71% (

-1.14)

61.28% (

1.14)

Score Analysis

Metalist Kharkiv 35.18%

Metal Kharkiv 38.5%

Draw 26.31%

Metalist Kharkiv	Draw	Metal Kharkiv
1-0 @ 9.34% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.79% Total : 35.18%	1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.31%	0-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.39% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.32% Total : 38.5%