Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
Mar 9, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park
Newtown2 - 0Cardiff MU
Mwandwe (49'), Smith (74')
Robles (15'), Mwandwe (35'), Evans (79')
Robles (15'), Mwandwe (35'), Evans (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Clubb (14'), Skiverton (31'), Cadwallader (42')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Cardiff MU.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Caernarfon 1-0 Newtown
Friday, March 1 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Friday, March 1 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 4-0 Cardiff MU
Saturday, March 2 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, March 2 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
32
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 57.54%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 20.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 0-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Cardiff MU |
57.54% ( -0.31) | 22.12% ( 0.19) | 20.35% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 55.15% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
